当拜登卸任时,他将以最军国主义的美国领导人之一纪录离任,他对造成当下可能是最多的无辜平民伤亡负有责任。这是他任职期间乌克兰、加沙和其他地方发生战争的结果。如果拜登最近那无希望的外交政策获得落实,这纪录会变得更糟。

独立观察家认为,这位跛脚鸭美国总统授权乌克兰使用美国远程导弹对俄罗斯境内进行反击,是拜登进一步试图持续和升级乌克兰战争举措。

在美国,众议员玛乔丽葛林的以下回应,在X平台上获得了200万次浏览和4万7000个赞

在卸任期间,拜登正危险地试图透过授权乌克兰使用美国远程导弹攻击俄罗斯来引发第三次世界大战。

美国人民于11月5日投下的一票,就是反对美国拜登总统的最后决策,不想资助或打外国战争。我们想解决自己本身的问题

玛乔丽葛林,乔治亚州众议员,X帖子,2​​024年11月14日

美国允许基辅使用陆军战术导弹系统(ATACM),攻击俄罗斯境内,其射程比目前供应给乌克兰的飞弹高出四倍,这项决定是用最站不住脚的借口来合理化的。

据报道,引述对此事“了解甚多”的美国官员说法,但实际上是白宫指派来提供正当性宣传的,西方媒体也正在向世界宣传美国军援上重大政策变化,即这是作为对俄罗斯据称在乌克兰北部前线部署朝鲜军队回应。

这个解释听起来非常空洞。

自俄乌战争开始以来,俄罗斯从未号召或依赖任何非俄罗斯军队参战。在胜利似乎在望的最后阶段,普京希望这能作为俄罗斯独自战胜由美国、英国、加拿大、澳洲、欧盟、日本和其他西方盟友联合起来的一场战役,而载入史册。普京如果欢迎俄罗斯盟友参与乌克兰目前的战事和军事残局,那将是愚蠢的,也是极不可能的。

对于俄乌战场上有朝鲜人,很可能也只是少数在前线。然而,掌握朝鲜最全面情报的韩国却无法证实一些美国和乌克兰官员所通报的,即朝鲜军队正参与俄乌战争。

拜登最后一场战争

拜登允许乌克兰使用美导弹攻击俄罗斯是其外交政策上最后努力,这背后原因不难理解。首先,拜登屈服于军事工业复合体和深层国家势力的最后努力,这些势力是美国国内和外交政策的关键参与者,旨在阻挠即将上任的总统特朗普要结束战争的计划。特朗普承诺在上任后24小时内采取措施终结俄乌战争,显然这会影响军事工业复合体从乌克兰战争中获得的巨大利益。

拜登早前是顶住了泽连斯基和西方支持者的压力,不让乌克兰袭击俄罗斯境内的军事目标,因为担心这种战事升级可能会让美国和北约与拥有核武的俄罗斯直接冲突。

拜登在卸任前改变主意,除了有屈服于华盛顿和基辅政治舞台背后的军事和工业力量外,也可有其他解读。

最重要的似乎是他对特朗普的个人敌意,他在最近的一次竞选集会上谴责特朗普是对民主的威胁,是一个需要“被关起来”的人。这种敌意也可能与哈里斯的败选有关,导致他对宿敌特朗普进行报复,许多民主党领导人将败选归因于拜登太迟退出总统竞选。

特朗普作为新总统未能按照承诺终止战争,将使拜登支持乌克兰的外交政策遗产受到更好的关注,并使特朗普沦为拜登现在专注于影响和改写的美国历史中之失败者。

然而,拜登在年轻时也曾展现出反战情。与早前的总统——乔布什和克林顿一样,他成功逃过兵役。

根据服务现役、预备役、国民警卫队和退役美军人员的《美国陆军时报》报导,分析了历任总统的“逃役”策略:

拜登不仅得以特拉华大学本科生缓期应召入伍,之后进入雪城大学法学院三年期间,也获允许延期入伍。1968年,当他完成学业后,拜登再以患有气喘病为由,再次要求延期入伍。尽管根据拜登自传,他在高中时是一名明星运动员,在大学时也参加校内运动,并在夏天担任过救生员。

《美国陆军时报》还指出,拜登一收到可因气喘病延期入伍通知,就竞选地方公职,并在两年内选上参议员。

作为即将卸任的总统,拜登显然用美国外交政策的最新变化,“战斗到最后一个乌克兰人”来美化他的战争记录。美国外交政策的这项新转变也将适用于中东和亚洲热点,如韩国和台湾。因此,为了美国未来的地缘政治主导地位和霸权,可以预期,美国会鼓吹巴勒斯坦、韩国或台湾,战斗到最后一个人。

林德宜《美国:战斗到最后一个乌克兰人》原文:United States: Fighting to the last Ukrainian

When Joe Biden leaves office, he will leave as the president with a record that places him amongst the most militaristic of American leaders with responsibility for inflicting suffering and bringing death to possibly the largest number of innocent civilian casualties in this modern era. This is as a result of the wars taking place during his watch in Ukraine, Gaza and elsewhere. This record will become worse if the bleak outcome of his latest foreign
policy decision becomes reality.

In what independent observers view as a further attempt by Biden to continue and escalate the war in Ukraine, the lame duck president has authorised Ukraine to use American long-range missiles to strike deeper inside Russia.

In the US, the following response by Congress representative Marjorie Greene has received 2 million views on X and 47,000 likes 

On his way out of office, Joe Biden is dangerously trying to start WW III by authorizing Ukraine the use of U.S. long range missiles into Russia.

The American people gave a mandate on Nov 5th against these exact America last decisions and do NOT want to fund or fight foreign wars. We want to fix our own problems

Marjorie Taylor Green, Congress representative for Georgia, X post, 14 Nov 2024 

This decision, allowing Kyiv to use the Army Tactical Missile System (ATACMs) with their superior range of up to four times more than the current missiles supplied to Ukraine for attacks inside Russia, has been justified with the most flimsy of excuses.

Quoting American officials reported to be ‘knowledgeable’ about the matter but obviously designated by the White House to provide justification propaganda, the major policy change is being pitched by western media to the world as a response to North Korean troops reported to be positioned along Ukraine’s northern border.

The explanation rings hollow.

Since the war began, Russia has not called upon or relied on any non-Russian troops to fight its war. At this late stage when victory appears to be in sight, Putin will want for it to enter into the history books as an exclusive and singlehanded Russian victory against the combined forces of the US, Britain, Canada, Australia, the European Union, Japan and other allies of the West. It will be foolish and extremely unlikely for Putin to welcome any participation from Russia’s allies in the current battlefield and military endgame in Ukraine.

As to the presence of North Koreans in Ukraine, it is possible that there is a small number of them at the frontline. However, South Korea, which has the best intelligence on North Korea, has not been able to confirm that North Korean troops are now engaged in combat as reported by some US and Ukraine officials.

Explaining Biden's Last War Hurrah

What explains Biden’s last hurrah in US foreign policy is not difficult to understand. Firstly, he is giving way to the late ditch effort by the military-industrial (MIC) and deep state complexes that are key players of US domestic and foreign policy to obstruct the incoming president, Donald Trump, in his plan to end the war. Such a move which Trump has promised to take place within 24 hours after his assumption of office, would obviously adversely impact the windfall profits that the war in Ukraine has generated for the MIC complex.

Biden had earlier resisted pressure from Zelensky and Western supporters to allow Ukraine to strike military targets deeper inside Russia for fear that this escalation could draw the US and NATO into direct conflict with nuclear-armed Russia.

His change of mind at this late hour can also be interpreted in other ways besides his finally giving in to the military and industrial forces working behind the political scene in Washington and Kyiv.

Foremost appears to be his personal animosity towards Trump who he condemned in a recent election campaign rally as a threat to democracy and someone that needed to “be locked up”. Related to that animosity may also be a quest for retaliation against his nemesis fuelled by Kamala Harris’s election loss which many Democrat leaders attribute to Biden’s late withdrawal from the presidential race.

Failure by Trump as the new president to stop the war as promised would put Biden’s foreign policy legacy of support for Ukraine in a better light and make Trump the loser in the American history books which Biden is now focused on influencing and rewriting.

Earlier in his youth, Biden had shown promise of being anti-war in his sentiment. Like earlier presidents - George W. Bush and Bill Clinton - he was successful in avoiding the draft.

According to a report by the US Army Times newspaper which serves active, reserve, national guard and retired US army personne, and analysed the draft dodging strategies of various presidents:

Biden not only received deferments for his undergraduate days at the University of Delaware, but for three years of law school at Syracuse University. When his education deferments expired in 1968, Biden requested a deferment based on the fact he had asthma as a teenager. He did this in spite of the fact that, according to his own book, he was a star athlete in high school and in college played intramural sports and was a lifeguard in the summer.

The report also noted that as soon as he received his asthma deferment, Biden ran for local office and within two years after he would have been discharged from the Army, assuming he was not wounded or killed, he was elected to the Senate.

As an outgoing president, Biden clearly has embellished his war record with the latest variant of US foreign policy of fighting to the last Ukrainian. This new twist to US foreign policy will also apply to hotspots in the Middle East and Asia such as Korea and Taiwan. Hence fighting to the last Palestinian, Korean or Taiwanese can be expected for future US geo-political dominance and rule of law.

林德宜

公共政策分析学者

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